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All Politics Is Presidential

Thirty-six states will choose governors this November. These states are home to 79 percent of the total U.S. population. They face a range of challenges, from too few jobs to too little water, that are...

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Partisan Loyalty Begins at Age 18

In the last decade, voters over 65 years old have become more Republican, even as the electorate as a whole has been trending in the opposite direction. In 2004, George W. Bush won that demographic by...

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Americans’ Faith in Government Shapes How They Feel About Obamacare — Trust Me

Four years after the passage of the Affordable Care Act, Americans are still of two minds about the health care reform law. When pollsters break Obamacare apart, nearly all of the individual pieces are...

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Dying at the Grand Canyon

The Grand Canyon is a safe place to visit. I’d trade the dangers of most highways for the security of a well-mapped hole in the Earth anytime. In the 1990s, the National Park Service reported that...

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Why American Opinion Is Split On The Child Migrant Crisis

It’s an election year, and down-ballot officials find themselves caught between a Democratic administration looking to house thousands of asylum-seekers and constituents who are leery of assisting...

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The Enduring Political Impact Of 9/11 For Those Who Were Closest

In the days just after the Sept. 11 attacks, I called an uncle in Wyoming to check in and let him know how I was doing. At the time, I was living in a part of Brooklyn quite close to the World Trade...

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Electing A Black Mayor Leads To More Black Police Officers

The fatal shooting of Michael Brown in August in Ferguson, Missouri — and the protests that followed — have brought renewed attention to a range of issues, including the underrepresentation of blacks...

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Being An Incumbent Isn’t As Fun As It Used To Be

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is an unlikely candidate to be in a competitive race. He is an incumbent U.S. Senator and a Republican running for re-election when a Democrat sits in the White...

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Chicago’s Unemployment Rate Could Cost Rahm Emanuel Votes

On Tuesday, Chicago voters go to the polls to weigh in on Rahm Emanuel’s four years as mayor. If recent polling is accurate, Emanuel is the heavy favorite to win more votes than any of his competitors....

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Rubio Or Cruz Could Help The GOP Win Over More Latino Voters

Even after Marco Rubio’s and Ted Cruz’s respective fifth-place and third-place finishes in New Hampshire, the GOP is closer to nominating a Latino candidate for president than either major party has...

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Ted Cruz’s General Election Strategy Is Wishful Thinking

Even after a third-place showing in South Carolina on Saturday, Ted Cruz is one of three Republican presidential candidates — along with Donald Trump and Marco Rubio — who still has a relatively...

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Clinton Voters Like Obama More Than Sanders Supporters Do

A month ago, the talk about Hillary Clinton’s campaign was of deja vu, with Bernie Sanders adopting Barack Obama’s 2008 model to challenge her from the left. Moreover, the Sanders campaign is fueled...

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What Trump Supporters Were Doing Before Trump

Typically, at this point in a presidential election cycle, punditry is focused on campaign tactics and delegate counts — who is advertising where, who is endorsing whom. But the unexpected rise of...

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Why Sanders Does Better With Independents

During the 2004 presidential primaries, former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean made headlines by asserting that he represented the “Democratic wing of the Democratic Party.” His support in the New Hampshire...

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Does Bernie Sanders Represent The Future Of The Democratic Party?

Stop me when this sounds familiar. The times are uncertain, with a long-running war abroad and a sense of rising division at home. There’s violence at political events and in our streets and talk on...

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The Party That Loses This Year Could Still Win A Big Consolation Prize

Every four years, we seem to hear that we are facing the “most important election ever,” but this year that hyperbole has reached new heights. At the Republican National Convention, former New York...

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Most Voters Haven’t Changed Their Minds All Year

For many Americans, and not a few journalists, this election can’t end soon enough. Fifty-nine percent of Americans reported that they were “exhausted” by election coverage — and that was in early...

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A Transit Strike In Philly Could Lower Turnout, Especially Among Black And...

UPDATE (Nov. 7, 2016, 7 a.m.): The SEPTA strike was settled early Monday morning.While commentators digest the latest announcement from FBI Director James Comey, a story with the potential to have more...

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Voters Really Did Switch To Trump At The Last Minute

Donald Trump’s somewhat surprising win has forced many political analysts to wonder: Were we wrong all along in thinking Hillary Clinton had the upper hand, or was late-breaking movement to Trump part...

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Trump’s Election Doesn’t Mean Americans Are More Opposed To Immigration

Immigration was perhaps the defining issue of President Donald Trump’s campaign. It was the center of his June 2015 announcement speech. Two months later, immigration reform remained the only item...

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