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A Transit Strike In Philly Could Lower Turnout, Especially Among Black And...
UPDATE (Nov. 7, 2016, 7 a.m.): The SEPTA strike was settled early Monday morning. While commentators digest the latest announcement from FBI Director James Comey, a story with the potential to have...
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Voters Really Did Switch To Trump At The Last Minute
Donald Trump’s somewhat surprising win has forced many political analysts to wonder: Were we wrong all along in thinking Hillary Clinton had the upper hand, or was late-breaking movement to Trump part...
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Trump’s Election Doesn’t Mean Americans Are More Opposed To Immigration
Immigration was perhaps the defining issue of President Donald Trump’s campaign. It was the center of his June 2015 announcement speech. Two months later, immigration reform remained the only item...
View ArticleRepublicans’ Obamacare Repeal Would Cut Taxes — But Mostly In Blue States
While the Senate Republicans’ bill to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act has been shrouded in secrecy, at least one thing is all but certain: The final bill will include hundreds of billions of...
View ArticleWhat Americans Don’t Like About Obamacare
We now know Republican senators’ plan to repeal and replace Obamacare. And while GOP senators are struggling with the question of whether they can pass the bill, they’ll also be asking a longer-term...
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Political Twitter Is No Place For Moderates
Twitter has never been a bastion of the Queen’s English, but recent reporting has unearthed a variety of polarizing posts about American politics that are presumed to be of Russian origin, in part...
View ArticleLatino Immigrants Across The U.S. Report Similar Levels Of Discrimination
Former Maricopa County sheriff Joe Arpaio recently announced his bid for the Arizona Senate seat being vacated by Republican Jeff Flake. To say that Arpaio is a controversial figure is putting it...
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All Politics Is National Because All Media Is National
State and local governments have a huge influence on citizens’ daily lives. They spend people’s tax dollars. They decide how schools operate and what constitutes a crime. And yet, few people seem to...
View ArticleWhat We Know About Voter ID Laws
At a rally last month, President Trump endorsed voter ID laws, saying this to the audience: “Only American citizens should vote in American elections. Which is why the time has come for voter ID, like...
View ArticlePolitics Podcast: How Voting Laws Will Affect The Midterms
By Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Dan Hopkins and Galen Druke, Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Dan Hopkins and Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Dan Hopkins and Galen Druke More: Apple Podcasts | ESPN App |...
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How Much Do Voting Restrictions Affect Elections?
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarahf (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): From voter roll purges in Georgia that overwhelmingly affect...
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White Americans Say They’re Less Prejudiced
The issues of racism and racial divisions in politics are front and center again in the wake of President Trump’s tweets and comments about four congresswomen of color. But a key question is whether...
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Obamacare’s Unpopularity Suggests Medicare For All May Be A Hard Sell
The first and second Democratic debates have made one thing clear: A number of major policy reforms are on the table, including sweeping proposals on health care and climate change. And many of these...
View ArticleDid Tuesday Night’s Democratic Debate Do Anything To Break The Logjam In Iowa?
Welcome to a special, post-debate edition of FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarahf (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): Just six candidates made...
View ArticleVoters Who’ll Support Biden — But Not Sanders — Probably Really Do Mean It
Joe Biden’s prospects for winning the Democratic nomination have waned after both the former vice president’s disappointing fourth and fifth place finishes in Iowa and New Hampshire and Sanders’s...
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Media Coverage Doesn’t Actually Determine Public Opinion On The Economy
In mid-February, Wall Street was celebrating the stock market reaching record highs. But the stock market has since lost roughly 20 percent of its value in the wake of the coronavirus, and the broader...
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Why Trump’s Racist Appeals Might Be Less Effective In 2020 Than They Were In...
In the closing days of the 2018 midterms campaign, with the economy on a historic run, President Trump tried to focus Americans’ attention on a caravan of Central American migrants heading toward the...
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The Democrats Have An Ambitious Agenda. Here’s What They Should Learn From...
In 2010, the last time Democrats controlled both houses of Congress and the presidency, they used the opportunity to pass sweeping health care reform legislation known as the Affordable Care Act, or...
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How Trump Has Redefined Conservatism
In 2004, Pennsylvania Rep. Patrick Toomey was the face of the conservative insurgency. An anti-taxes, anti-spending hawk, Toomey was one of many conservative upstarts who primaried a more moderate...
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What 2021’s Biggest Upset Elections Tell Us About The Losing Parties
2021 was bookended by high-profile elections. In early January, traditionally GOP-leaning Georgia sent two Democrats to the U.S. Senate in two runoff elections, tipping control of the chamber into...
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